Swing trading

Omar Bassal

Book - 2024

Swing Trading For Dummies introduces you to a trading methodology designed to generate big profits in the short term. Unlike buy and hold investing, Swing Traders endeavor to enter a stock at the precise moment a major uptrend begins and exit for a large profit a few weeks or months later. In order to achieve this result, Swing Trading For Dummies covers the tools you need to get up and running as a trader before moving on to the two main analysis techniques swing traders rely upon: technical analysis and fundamental analysis. These two analysis techniques can be combined to maximize the chances of a successful trade. But no one is perfect, and the savvy swing trader must have a comprehensive risk management plan to deal with trades that fa...il to launch. New in this update to Swing Trading for Dummies is material on the types of positive catalysts a trader should look for to enter a trade, the best way to trade earnings reports, swing trading cryptocurrencies and why you should avoid investing in banking stocks. Learn how swing trading can generate profits in a short period of time Identify the most attractive opportunities and when to buy them Avoid the common mistakes that sink many novices Manage risk and set yourself up for success.

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Subjects
Genres
Handbooks and manuals
Published
Hoboken, NJ : John Wiley & Sons, Inc [2024]
Language
English
Main Author
Omar Bassal (author)
Edition
3rd edition
Physical Description
xi, 346 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
Bibliography
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN
9781394288427
  • Introduction
  • About This Book
  • Foolish Assumptions
  • Icons Used in This Book
  • Where to Go from Here
  • Part 1. Getting into the Swing of Things
  • Chapter 1. Swing Trading from A to Z
  • Understanding What Swing Trading Is (and Isn't)
  • Just what can you swing trade?
  • The differences between swing trading and buy-and-hold investing
  • The differences between swing trading and day trading
  • Historical Stock Returns Are Not What They Seem
  • What Swing Trading Is to You; Determining Your Time Commitment
  • Swing trading as your primary source of income
  • Swing trading to supplement income or improve investment returns
  • Swing trading just for fun
  • Sneaking a Peek at the Swing Trader's Strategic Plan
  • Why you should swing trade stocks
  • More "what": Trading stocks consistent with your values
  • The "where": Deciding where you'll trade
  • The "when" and the "how": Choosing your trading style and strategy
  • Building Your Swing Trading Prowess
  • Chapter 2. Understanding the Swing Trader's Two Main Strategies
  • Strategy and Style: The Swing Trader's Bio
  • Two forms of analysis, head to head
  • Scope approach: Top down or bottom up?
  • Styles of trading: Discretionary versus quantitative
  • Wrapping Your Mind around Technical Theory
  • Understanding how and why technical analysis works
  • Sizing up the technical advantages and disadvantages
  • Learning two main approaches of technical analysis
  • Appreciating the Value of the Big Picture: Fundamental Theory
  • Understanding how and why fundamental analysis works
  • Surveying the fundamental advantages and disadvantages
  • Trading on catalysts
  • Chapter 3. Focusing on the Small Stuff: The Administrative Tasks
  • Hooking Up with a Broker
  • Choosing a broker
  • Opening an account
  • Selecting Service Providers
  • Providers to do business with
  • Providers to avoid
  • Starting a Trading Journal
  • Creating a Winning Mindset
  • Part 2. Timing is Everything: Technical Analysis
  • Chapter 4. Charting the Market
  • Nailing Down the Concepts: The Roles of Price and Volume in Charting
  • Having Fun with Pictures: The Four Main Chart Types
  • Charts in Action: A Pictorial View of the Security Cycle of Life
  • The waiting game: Accumulation
  • The big bang: Expansion
  • The aftermath: Distribution
  • The downfall: Contraction
  • Assessing Trading-Crowd Psychology: Popular Patterns for All Chart Types
  • The Darvas box: Accumulation in action
  • Head and shoulders: The top-off
  • The cup and handle: Your signal to stick around for coffee
  • Triangles: A fiscal tug of war
  • Gaps: An easy way to identify the start of a trend
  • Letting Special Candlestick Patterns Reveal Trend Changes
  • Hammer time!
  • Double vision: Bullish and bearish engulfing patterns
  • The triple threat: Morning and evening stars
  • Chapter 5. Asking Technical Indicators for Directions
  • All You Need to Know about Analyzing Indicators
  • You must apply the right type of indicator
  • Not all price swings are meaningful
  • Prices don't reflect volume, so you need to account for it
  • An indicator's accuracy isn't the best measure of its value
  • Two to three indicators are enough
  • Inputs should always fit your time horizon
  • Divergences are the strongest signals in technical analysis
  • Determining Whether a Security Is Trending
  • Recognizing Major Trending Indicators
  • The compass of indicators: Directional Movement Index (DMI)
  • A mean, lean revelation machine: Moving averages
  • A meeting of the means: MACD
  • Spotting Major Non-Trending Indicators
  • Stochastics: A study of change over time
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): A comparison of apples and oranges
  • Combining Technical Indicators with Chart Patterns
  • Chapter 6. Trend Following or Trading Ranges
  • Trading Trends versus Trading Ranges: A Quick Rundown
  • Trend Trading
  • Finding a strong trend
  • Knowing when to enter a trend
  • Reversion to the Mean trading
  • Managing risk by determining your pain threshold
  • Trading Ranges: Perhaps Stasis Is Bliss?
  • Finding a security in a wide trading range
  • Entering on a range and setting your exit level
  • Comparing Markets to One Another: Intermarket Analysis
  • Passing the buck: The U.S. dollar
  • Tracking commodities
  • Watching how bond price and stock price movements correlate
  • Putting Securities in a Market Head-to-Head: Relative Strength Analysis
  • Treating the world as your oyster: The global scope
  • Holding industry groups to the market standard
  • Part 3. Incorporating Fundamental Analysis into Your Swing Trading Plan
  • Chapter 7. The Macro (Economy) and Micro (Business)
  • It's the Economy, Dummy
  • Economic indicators
  • Inflation indicators
  • Central Bank (the Federal Reserve)
  • Broadening your horizons (internationally)
  • What Type of Businesses Are Publicly Traded
  • Cyclical sectors
  • Defensive sectors
  • Why you should avoid financial stocks like the plague
  • Sector Rotation
  • Why Stock Prices Rise and Fall
  • Earnings (really, cashflows)
  • Multiple expansion/contraction
  • Low Growth Means Less Profit Potential
  • Chapter 8. So, What's This Company Worth?
  • The Art and Science of Valuation
  • Why Valuation Matters
  • Do I have to be a financial wizard to do a valuation?
  • The most critical fundamentals a swing trader should rely on
  • How Swing Traders Should Approach Valuation
  • 1. Determining the company's normalized cash flow
  • 2. Determining an appropriate multiple to apply to the company's normalized cashflow
  • 3. Adding cash, subtracting debt
  • Saving your work
  • Determining the upside in shares
  • Grading candidates as Bucket 1s, Bucket 2s, or Bucket 3s
  • Catalysts Are When the Swing Trader Pounces
  • Earnings driven
  • Healthcare
  • Industry-wide events
  • Bad positive catalysts
  • Chapter 9. Assessing a Company's Stock: Six Tried-and-True Steps
  • The Six Step Dance: Analyzing a Company
  • Step 1: What is the Company's Business?
  • Step 2: Determining a Company's Financial Stability
  • Current ratio
  • Debt to shareholders' equity ratio
  • Interest coverage ratio
  • Step 3: Looking at Historical Earnings and Sales Growth
  • Step 4: Seeking out Companies Exceeding Earnings and Sales Expectations
  • Step 5: Identifying if a Positive Catalyst Exists
  • Step 6: Estimating a Company's Value
  • Chapter 10. Sourcing: How to Find Swing Trading Candidates
  • Seeing the Forest for the Trees: The Top-Down Approach
  • Understanding the basics of the top-down approach
  • Sizing up the market
  • Assessing industry potential
  • Starting from the Grassroots Level: The Bottom-Up Approach
  • Using screens to filter information
  • Assessing your screening results
  • Deciding Which Approach to Use
  • Part 4. Planning the Trade and Trading the Plan
  • Chapter 11. Fall Fast: Managing Risk
  • Risk Measurement and Management in a Nutshell
  • First Things First: Measuring the Riskiness of Stocks before You Buy
  • Looking at liquidity: Trade frequency
  • Sizing up the company: The smaller, the riskier
  • Avoiding low-priced shares: As simple as it sounds
  • Limiting Losses at the Individual Stock Level
  • Figuring out how much you're willing to lose
  • Setting your position size
  • Building a Portfolio with Minimal Risk
  • Limit all position losses to 7 percent
  • Diversify your allocations
  • Planning Your Exit Strategies
  • Exiting for profitable trades
  • Exiting based on the passage of time
  • Exiting based on a stop-loss level
  • Chapter 12. Knowing Your Entry and Exit Strategies
  • Understanding Market Mechanics
  • Surveying the Major Order Types
  • Living life in the fast lane: Market orders
  • Knowing your boundaries: Limit orders
  • Calling a halt: Stop orders
  • Mixing the best of both worlds: Stop-limit orders
  • New order types: Algorithmic orders
  • Placing Orders as a Part-Time Swing Trader
  • Entering the fray
  • Exiting to cut your losses (or make a profit)
  • Placing Orders if Swing Trading's Your Full-Time Gig
  • Considering the best order types for you
  • Taking advantage of intraday charting to time your entries and exits
  • Chapter 13. Walking through a Trade, Swing-Style
  • Step 1: Sizing Up the Market
  • Step 2: Identifying the Top Industry Groups
  • Step 3: Selecting Promising Candidates
  • Screening securities
  • Ranking the filtered securities and assessing chart patterns
  • Identifying a positive catalyst
  • Step 4: Determining Position Size
  • Setting your stop-loss level
  • Limiting your losses to a certain percentage
  • Step 5: Executing Your Order
  • Step 6: Recording Your Trade
  • Step 7: Monitoring Your Shares' Motion and Exiting When the Time is Right
  • Step 8: Improving Your Swing Trading Skills
  • Chapter 14. Looking at the Scoreboard to Evaluate Your Performance
  • No Additions, No Withdrawals? No Problem!
  • Comparing Returns over Different Time Periods: Annualizing Returns
  • Accounting for Deposits and Withdrawals: The Time-Weighted Return Method
  • Breaking the time period into chunks
  • Calculating the return for each time period
  • Chain-linking time period returns to calculate a total return
  • Comparing Your Returns to an Appropriate Benchmark
  • Evaluating Your Trading Plan
  • Part 5. The Part of Tens
  • Chapter 15. Ten Simple Rules for Swing Trading
  • Trade Your Plan
  • Follow the Lead of the Overall Market and Industry Groups
  • Don't Let Emotions Control Your Trading
  • Diversify, but Not Too Much
  • Set Your Risk Level
  • Set a Profit Target or Technical Exit
  • Use the Appropriate Order Type
  • Use Stop-Loss Orders
  • Keep a Trading Journal
  • Expand Your Knowledge
  • Chapter 16. Ten Deadly Mistakes of Swing Trading
  • Violating Your Trading Plan
  • Starting with Too Little Capital
  • Gambling on Earnings Dates
  • Speculating on Penny Stocks
  • Monitoring Your Positions Minute by Minute
  • Doubling Down
  • Keeping Open Positions While You Travel
  • Seeking the Opinions of Social Media
  • Trading Illiquid Securities
  • Overtrading Stocks
  • Appendix: Helpful Resources for Today's Swing Trader
  • Index