Swing trading
Book - 2024
Swing Trading For Dummies introduces you to a trading methodology designed to generate big profits in the short term. Unlike buy and hold investing, Swing Traders endeavor to enter a stock at the precise moment a major uptrend begins and exit for a large profit a few weeks or months later. In order to achieve this result, Swing Trading For Dummies covers the tools you need to get up and running as a trader before moving on to the two main analysis techniques swing traders rely upon: technical analysis and fundamental analysis. These two analysis techniques can be combined to maximize the chances of a successful trade. But no one is perfect, and the savvy swing trader must have a comprehensive risk management plan to deal with trades that fa...il to launch. New in this update to Swing Trading for Dummies is material on the types of positive catalysts a trader should look for to enter a trade, the best way to trade earnings reports, swing trading cryptocurrencies and why you should avoid investing in banking stocks. Learn how swing trading can generate profits in a short period of time Identify the most attractive opportunities and when to buy them Avoid the common mistakes that sink many novices Manage risk and set yourself up for success.
- Subjects
- Genres
- Handbooks and manuals
- Published
-
Hoboken, NJ :
John Wiley & Sons, Inc
[2024]
- Language
- English
- Main Author
- Edition
- 3rd edition
- Physical Description
- xi, 346 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
- Bibliography
- Includes bibliographical references and index.
- ISBN
- 9781394288427
- Introduction
- About This Book
- Foolish Assumptions
- Icons Used in This Book
- Where to Go from Here
- Part 1. Getting into the Swing of Things
- Chapter 1. Swing Trading from A to Z
- Understanding What Swing Trading Is (and Isn't)
- Just what can you swing trade?
- The differences between swing trading and buy-and-hold investing
- The differences between swing trading and day trading
- Historical Stock Returns Are Not What They Seem
- What Swing Trading Is to You; Determining Your Time Commitment
- Swing trading as your primary source of income
- Swing trading to supplement income or improve investment returns
- Swing trading just for fun
- Sneaking a Peek at the Swing Trader's Strategic Plan
- Why you should swing trade stocks
- More "what": Trading stocks consistent with your values
- The "where": Deciding where you'll trade
- The "when" and the "how": Choosing your trading style and strategy
- Building Your Swing Trading Prowess
- Chapter 2. Understanding the Swing Trader's Two Main Strategies
- Strategy and Style: The Swing Trader's Bio
- Two forms of analysis, head to head
- Scope approach: Top down or bottom up?
- Styles of trading: Discretionary versus quantitative
- Wrapping Your Mind around Technical Theory
- Understanding how and why technical analysis works
- Sizing up the technical advantages and disadvantages
- Learning two main approaches of technical analysis
- Appreciating the Value of the Big Picture: Fundamental Theory
- Understanding how and why fundamental analysis works
- Surveying the fundamental advantages and disadvantages
- Trading on catalysts
- Chapter 3. Focusing on the Small Stuff: The Administrative Tasks
- Hooking Up with a Broker
- Choosing a broker
- Opening an account
- Selecting Service Providers
- Providers to do business with
- Providers to avoid
- Starting a Trading Journal
- Creating a Winning Mindset
- Part 2. Timing is Everything: Technical Analysis
- Chapter 4. Charting the Market
- Nailing Down the Concepts: The Roles of Price and Volume in Charting
- Having Fun with Pictures: The Four Main Chart Types
- Charts in Action: A Pictorial View of the Security Cycle of Life
- The waiting game: Accumulation
- The big bang: Expansion
- The aftermath: Distribution
- The downfall: Contraction
- Assessing Trading-Crowd Psychology: Popular Patterns for All Chart Types
- The Darvas box: Accumulation in action
- Head and shoulders: The top-off
- The cup and handle: Your signal to stick around for coffee
- Triangles: A fiscal tug of war
- Gaps: An easy way to identify the start of a trend
- Letting Special Candlestick Patterns Reveal Trend Changes
- Hammer time!
- Double vision: Bullish and bearish engulfing patterns
- The triple threat: Morning and evening stars
- Chapter 5. Asking Technical Indicators for Directions
- All You Need to Know about Analyzing Indicators
- You must apply the right type of indicator
- Not all price swings are meaningful
- Prices don't reflect volume, so you need to account for it
- An indicator's accuracy isn't the best measure of its value
- Two to three indicators are enough
- Inputs should always fit your time horizon
- Divergences are the strongest signals in technical analysis
- Determining Whether a Security Is Trending
- Recognizing Major Trending Indicators
- The compass of indicators: Directional Movement Index (DMI)
- A mean, lean revelation machine: Moving averages
- A meeting of the means: MACD
- Spotting Major Non-Trending Indicators
- Stochastics: A study of change over time
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): A comparison of apples and oranges
- Combining Technical Indicators with Chart Patterns
- Chapter 6. Trend Following or Trading Ranges
- Trading Trends versus Trading Ranges: A Quick Rundown
- Trend Trading
- Finding a strong trend
- Knowing when to enter a trend
- Reversion to the Mean trading
- Managing risk by determining your pain threshold
- Trading Ranges: Perhaps Stasis Is Bliss?
- Finding a security in a wide trading range
- Entering on a range and setting your exit level
- Comparing Markets to One Another: Intermarket Analysis
- Passing the buck: The U.S. dollar
- Tracking commodities
- Watching how bond price and stock price movements correlate
- Putting Securities in a Market Head-to-Head: Relative Strength Analysis
- Treating the world as your oyster: The global scope
- Holding industry groups to the market standard
- Part 3. Incorporating Fundamental Analysis into Your Swing Trading Plan
- Chapter 7. The Macro (Economy) and Micro (Business)
- It's the Economy, Dummy
- Economic indicators
- Inflation indicators
- Central Bank (the Federal Reserve)
- Broadening your horizons (internationally)
- What Type of Businesses Are Publicly Traded
- Cyclical sectors
- Defensive sectors
- Why you should avoid financial stocks like the plague
- Sector Rotation
- Why Stock Prices Rise and Fall
- Earnings (really, cashflows)
- Multiple expansion/contraction
- Low Growth Means Less Profit Potential
- Chapter 8. So, What's This Company Worth?
- The Art and Science of Valuation
- Why Valuation Matters
- Do I have to be a financial wizard to do a valuation?
- The most critical fundamentals a swing trader should rely on
- How Swing Traders Should Approach Valuation
- 1. Determining the company's normalized cash flow
- 2. Determining an appropriate multiple to apply to the company's normalized cashflow
- 3. Adding cash, subtracting debt
- Saving your work
- Determining the upside in shares
- Grading candidates as Bucket 1s, Bucket 2s, or Bucket 3s
- Catalysts Are When the Swing Trader Pounces
- Earnings driven
- Healthcare
- Industry-wide events
- Bad positive catalysts
- Chapter 9. Assessing a Company's Stock: Six Tried-and-True Steps
- The Six Step Dance: Analyzing a Company
- Step 1: What is the Company's Business?
- Step 2: Determining a Company's Financial Stability
- Current ratio
- Debt to shareholders' equity ratio
- Interest coverage ratio
- Step 3: Looking at Historical Earnings and Sales Growth
- Step 4: Seeking out Companies Exceeding Earnings and Sales Expectations
- Step 5: Identifying if a Positive Catalyst Exists
- Step 6: Estimating a Company's Value
- Chapter 10. Sourcing: How to Find Swing Trading Candidates
- Seeing the Forest for the Trees: The Top-Down Approach
- Understanding the basics of the top-down approach
- Sizing up the market
- Assessing industry potential
- Starting from the Grassroots Level: The Bottom-Up Approach
- Using screens to filter information
- Assessing your screening results
- Deciding Which Approach to Use
- Part 4. Planning the Trade and Trading the Plan
- Chapter 11. Fall Fast: Managing Risk
- Risk Measurement and Management in a Nutshell
- First Things First: Measuring the Riskiness of Stocks before You Buy
- Looking at liquidity: Trade frequency
- Sizing up the company: The smaller, the riskier
- Avoiding low-priced shares: As simple as it sounds
- Limiting Losses at the Individual Stock Level
- Figuring out how much you're willing to lose
- Setting your position size
- Building a Portfolio with Minimal Risk
- Limit all position losses to 7 percent
- Diversify your allocations
- Planning Your Exit Strategies
- Exiting for profitable trades
- Exiting based on the passage of time
- Exiting based on a stop-loss level
- Chapter 12. Knowing Your Entry and Exit Strategies
- Understanding Market Mechanics
- Surveying the Major Order Types
- Living life in the fast lane: Market orders
- Knowing your boundaries: Limit orders
- Calling a halt: Stop orders
- Mixing the best of both worlds: Stop-limit orders
- New order types: Algorithmic orders
- Placing Orders as a Part-Time Swing Trader
- Entering the fray
- Exiting to cut your losses (or make a profit)
- Placing Orders if Swing Trading's Your Full-Time Gig
- Considering the best order types for you
- Taking advantage of intraday charting to time your entries and exits
- Chapter 13. Walking through a Trade, Swing-Style
- Step 1: Sizing Up the Market
- Step 2: Identifying the Top Industry Groups
- Step 3: Selecting Promising Candidates
- Screening securities
- Ranking the filtered securities and assessing chart patterns
- Identifying a positive catalyst
- Step 4: Determining Position Size
- Setting your stop-loss level
- Limiting your losses to a certain percentage
- Step 5: Executing Your Order
- Step 6: Recording Your Trade
- Step 7: Monitoring Your Shares' Motion and Exiting When the Time is Right
- Step 8: Improving Your Swing Trading Skills
- Chapter 14. Looking at the Scoreboard to Evaluate Your Performance
- No Additions, No Withdrawals? No Problem!
- Comparing Returns over Different Time Periods: Annualizing Returns
- Accounting for Deposits and Withdrawals: The Time-Weighted Return Method
- Breaking the time period into chunks
- Calculating the return for each time period
- Chain-linking time period returns to calculate a total return
- Comparing Your Returns to an Appropriate Benchmark
- Evaluating Your Trading Plan
- Part 5. The Part of Tens
- Chapter 15. Ten Simple Rules for Swing Trading
- Trade Your Plan
- Follow the Lead of the Overall Market and Industry Groups
- Don't Let Emotions Control Your Trading
- Diversify, but Not Too Much
- Set Your Risk Level
- Set a Profit Target or Technical Exit
- Use the Appropriate Order Type
- Use Stop-Loss Orders
- Keep a Trading Journal
- Expand Your Knowledge
- Chapter 16. Ten Deadly Mistakes of Swing Trading
- Violating Your Trading Plan
- Starting with Too Little Capital
- Gambling on Earnings Dates
- Speculating on Penny Stocks
- Monitoring Your Positions Minute by Minute
- Doubling Down
- Keeping Open Positions While You Travel
- Seeking the Opinions of Social Media
- Trading Illiquid Securities
- Overtrading Stocks
- Appendix: Helpful Resources for Today's Swing Trader
- Index