AI snake oil What artificial intelligence can do, what it can't, and how to tell the difference
Book - 2024
"A trade book that argues that predictive AI is snake oil: it cannot and will never work. Artificial Intelligence is an umbrella term for a set of loosely related technologies. For instance, ChatGPT has little in common with algorithms that banks use to evaluate loan applicants. Both of these are referred to as AI, but in all of the salient ways -- how they work, what they're used for and by whom, and how they fail -- they couldn't be more different. Understanding the fundamental differences between AI technologies is critical for a technologically literate public to evaluate how AI is being used all around us. In this book, Arvind Narayanan and Sayash Kapoor explain the major strains of AI in use today: generative AI, predic...tive AI, and AI for content moderation. They show readers how to differentiate between them and, importantly, make a cogent argument for which types of AI can work well and which can never work, because of their inherent limitations. AI in this latter category, the authors argue, is AI snake oil: it does not and cannot work. More precisely, generative AI is imperfect but can be used for good once we learn how to apply it appropriately, whereas predictive AI can never work -- in spite of the fact that it's being sold and marketed today in products -- because we have never been able to accurately predict human behavior"--
Location | Call Number | Status | |
---|---|---|---|
2nd Floor New Shelf | 006.3/Narayanan | (NEW SHELF) | Due Jan 29, 2025 |
- Subjects
- Published
-
Princeton :
Princeton University Press
[2024]
- Language
- English
- Main Author
- Other Authors
- Physical Description
- x, 348 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm
- Bibliography
- Includes bibliographical references (pages 293-330) and index.
- ISBN
- 9780691249131
- 1. Introduction
- The Dawn of Alas a Consumer Product
- AI Shakes Up Entertainment
- Predictive AI: An Extraordinary Claim That Requires Extraordinary Evidence
- Painting AI with a Single Brush Is Tempting but Flawed
- A Series of Curious Circumstances Led to This Book
- The AI Hype Vortex
- What Is AI Snake Oil?
- Who This Book Is For
- 2. How Predictive AI Goes Wrong
- Predictive AI Makes Life-Altering Decisions
- A Good Prediction Is Not a Good Decision
- Opaque AI Incentivizes Gaming
- Overautomation
- Predictions about the Wrong People
- Predictive AI Exacerbates Existing Inequalities
- A World without Prediction
- Concluding Thoughts
- 3. Why Can't AI Predict the Future?
- A Brief History of Predicting the Future Using Computers
- Getting Specific
- The Fragile Families Challenge
- Why Did the Fragile Families Challenge End in Disappointment?
- Predictions in Criminal Justice
- Failure Is Hard. What about Success?
- The Meme Lottery
- From Individuals to Aggregates
- Recap: Reasons for Limits to Prediction
- 4. The Long Road to Generative AI
- Generative AI Is Built on a Long Series of Innovations Dating Back Eighty Years
- Failure and Revival
- Training Machines to "See"
- The Technical and Cultural Significance of ImageNet
- Classifying and Generating Images
- Generative AI Appropriates Creative Labor
- AI for Image Classification Can Quickly Become AI for Surveillance
- From Images to Text
- From Models to Chatbots
- Automating Bullshit
- Deepfakes, Fraud, and Other Malicious Uses
- The Cost of Improvement
- Taking Stock
- 5. Is Advanced AI an Existential Threat?
- What Do the Experts Think?
- The Ladder of Generality
- What's Next on the Ladder?
- Accelerating Progress ?
- Rogue AI?
- A Global Ban on Powerful AI?
- A Better Approach: Defending against Specific Threats
- Concluding Thoughts
- 6. Why Can't AI Fix Social Media?
- When Everything Is Taken Out of Context
- Cultural Incompetence
- AI Excels at Predicting … the Past
- When AI Goes Up against Human Ingenuity
- A Matter of Life and Death
- Now Add Regulation into the Mix
- The Hard Part Is Drawing the Line
- Recap: Seven Shortcomings of AI for Content Moderation
- A Problem of Their Own Making
- The Future of Content Moderation
- 7. Why Do Myths about AI Persist?
- AI Hype Is Different from Previous Technology Hype
- The AI Community Has a Culture and History of Hype
- Companies Have Few Incentives for Transparency
- The Reproducibility Crisis in AI Research
- News Media Misleads the Public
- Public Figures Spread AI Hype
- Cognitive Biases Lead Us Astray
- 8. Where Do We Go from Here?
- AI Snake Oil Is Appealing to Broken Institutions
- Embracing Randomness
- Regulation: Cutting through the False Dichotomy
- Limitations of Regulation
- AI and the Future of Work
- Growing Up with AI in Kai's World
- Growing Up with AI in Maya's World
- Acknowledgments
- References
- Index
Review by Kirkus Book Review