Identity crisis The 2016 presidential campaign and the battle for the meaning of America

John Sides

Book - 2018

Identity Crisis provides a gripping account of the campaign that appeared to break all the political rules--but in fact didn't. It takes readers from the bruising primaries to an election night whose outcome defied the predictions of the pollsters and pundits. The book shows how fundamental characteristics of the nation and its politics--the state of the economy, the Obama presidency, and the demographics of the political parties--combined with the candidates' personalities and rhetoric to produce one of the most unexpected presidencies in history. Early on, the fundamental characteristics predicted an extremely close election. And even though Trump's many controversies helped Clinton maintain a comfortable lead for most of t...he campaign, the prediction of a close election became reality when Americans cast their votes. Identity Crisis reveals how Trump's victory was foreshadowed by changes in the Democratic and Republican coalitions that were driven by people's racial and ethnic identities. The campaign then reinforced and exacerbated those cleavages as it focused on issues related to race, immigration, and religion. The result was an epic battle not just for the White House but about what America is and should be.

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Subjects
Published
Princeton, New Jersey : Princeton University Press [2018]
Language
English
Main Author
John Sides (author)
Other Authors
Michael Tesler (author), Lynn Vavreck, 1968-
Physical Description
xii, 333 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
Bibliography
Includes bibliographical references (pages 247-315) and index.
ISBN
9780691174198
  • List of Figures and Tables
  • 1. Fayetteville
  • 2. "Whaddaya Got?"
  • 3. Indecision
  • 4. "The Daily Donald Show"
  • 5. Hiding in Plain Sight
  • 6. Cracks in the Ceiling
  • 7. The Trump Tax
  • 8. What Happened?
  • 9. The Soul of a Nation
  • Appendixes
  • Notes
  • Acknowledgments
  • Index
Review by Choice Review

Sides (George Washington), Tesler (UC Irvine), and Vavreck (UCLA) employ an arsenal of accessible political science--based knowledge to explain the current state of US politics. The 2016 presidential election and the seemingly surprising result, the authors explain, were based on fundamental factors that were developing in the years prior to 2016 and the political rise of Trump. The authors' effective use of rich data sources to illustrate the state of American politics, on a multitude of issues, allows the casual observer or student to glean valuable, academically rigorous insights. The authors explain how the shifting, multivariate political world that we inhabit led us to what many considered a shocking electoral outcome. Perhaps the most exciting aspect of this book for this reviewer is the authors' ability to make sense of the 2016 presidential election while avoiding the all too common, overly simplistic, post hoc explanations of political pundits. Summing Up: Highly recommended. Lower-division undergraduates through faculty. --John C Davis, University of Arkansas at Monticello

Copyright American Library Association, used with permission.
Review by Kirkus Book Review

Racial and religious anxieties, more than economic worries, fueled Donald Trump's victory.Political science professors Sides (George Washington Univ.; The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election, 2013, etc.), Vavreck (UCLA; The Gamble, 2013, etc.), and Tesler (Univ. of California, Irvine; Post-Racial or Most-Racial?: Race and Politics in the Obama Era, 2016, etc.) counter some popular assumptions about the surprising outcome of the 2016 presidential election, which pitted two "historically unpopular presidential candidates" against each other. In a narrative replete with graphs and tables, the authors argue against the prevalent idea that Trump attracted white voters who felt victimized by loss of jobs and worries over economic insecurity, instead mounting abundant evidence for their contention that group identities mattered more to voters than perceptions of economic hardship or inequality. "Simple narratives about voter anger," they write, "obscured who was angry and why." They assert that in the Republican Party, "divisions centered on how voters felt about groups they did not belong to, including blacks, Muslims, and immigrants." These groups generated strong emotions and activated white voters' racial and religious identities, both of which had deepened during Barack Obama's presidency and caused a backlash against diversity. The authors cite three main reasons for Trump's victory: "fractured ranks" within the Republican Party that impeded party leaders from coalescing behind any candidate; outsized media coverage of Trump that made him appear to be the front-runner even when coverage focused on scandals; and "racialized economics," in which racial attitudes "shaped the way voters understood economic outcomes." Hillary Clinton had problems with both message and campaign strategy, never attracting enough support from diverse voters, including women. The authors doubt that Russian interference changed the outcome of the election. "Russian-sponsored content," they conclude, "was an infinitesimal fraction" of tweets and posts, and although this content was "misleading and polarizing," the campaign was already filled with similar incendiary content. Moreover, they maintain, "most voters are predictable partisans whose minds are hard to change."A cogent, well-documented analysis of the 2016 election. Copyright Kirkus Reviews, used with permission.

Copyright (c) Kirkus Reviews, used with permission.