Trading bases A story about Wall Street, gambling, and baseball (not necessarily in that order)

Joe Peta

Book - 2013

An ex-Wall Street trader improved on "Moneyball's" famed sabermetrics to place bets that would beat the Vegas odds on Major League Baseball games--with a 41 percent return in his first year. "Trading Bases" explains how he did it.

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Subjects
Published
New York : Dutton c2013.
Language
English
Main Author
Joe Peta (-)
Physical Description
viii, 369 p. ; 24 cm
Bibliography
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN
9780525953647
Contents unavailable.
Review by Booklist Review

Peta, a successful Wall Street trader, found himself confined to a wheelchair in early 2011 he had suffered multiple injuries after being struck by an ambulance as he was walking in Lower Manhattan and then fired by his employer, Nomura Securities. Reengaging with the world by joining his love of statistical analysis to baseball, Peta created a reliable system for beating Vegas odds throughout the 2011 Major League season. It would be easy to call out Peta for cynically using sport for financial gain and he can be unnervingly detached when crunching numbers but it's clear that he loves the game itself as much as the winnings. Moreover, he asks a number of salient questions, such as: How can businesses on Wall Street and beyond apply the thinking used by baseball sabermetricians to strengthen their own organizations? The answers, and how Peta arrived at them, make for great reading.--Moores, Alan Copyright 2010 Booklist

From Booklist, Copyright (c) American Library Association. Used with permission.
Review by Publisher's Weekly Review

A Wall Street honcho takes his analytic skills to the big leagues in this rollicking financial adventure. With time on his hands after losing his job and getting run over by an ambulance, Peta, a former Lehman Brothers stock trader, concocted a numerical model that he hoped would predict the outcomes of Major League baseball games better than Las Vegas oddsmakers did-and turned his betting on the 2011 season into a toy investment fund. His lark prompts a fascinating tour of the science of "sabrmetrics," which translates individual players' stats-home runs, strike outs, and more exotic performance measures-into win-loss forecasts and playoff picks. (The deftly explained math only enhances the ball-park drama, especially when the Minnesota Twins go on an unexpected winning streak that threatens to sink the fund's returns.) The author applies his baseball-gleaned insights on the all-important difference between luck and skill to Wall Street's betting parlors, probing Lehman Brothers' disastrous risk-management failures and wondering why traders aren't evaluated as shrewdly as pitchers are. Peta's hardheaded but warmhearted narrative reads like a mashup of Liar's Poker and Moneyball peppered with besotted evocations of emerald green outfields and sports-bar camaraderie. His is that rare finance saga that's both smart and loads of fun. (Mar. 7) (c) Copyright PWxyz, LLC. All rights reserved.

(c) Copyright PWxyz, LLC. All rights reserved
Review by Kirkus Book Review

A fun approach to developing the discipline necessary to separate reproducible skills from the disruptive effects of chance in baseball, finance and life. Peta's 15-year career as an equity trader with Lehman Brothers abruptly ended when an ambulance ran into him and crushed his leg. The author discusses how he pulled his life back together in the months when he was laid up, unable to walk and separated from his family on the West Coast. Peta developed a system for betting on baseball and began the work to turn it into a business. Conceptually, the author built on the work of predecessors from the sabermetrics school of baseball statistical analysis like Bill James and Nate Silver. Peta worked on developing statistical indicators that might give him an edge in the 2011 season, looking to find ways to separate analysis of acquired skills from chance or accident. Peta's approach is helpful to understanding statistical analysis in any field, not just the chosen baseball specialty. He applies the same approach to Wall Street trading results and showing how using profit-and-loss results to assess a manager's performance can be as misleading as using wins to identify a team's best pitcher. Neither reflect quantification of developable skill sets, but rather uncontrollable external factors. Peta's system was ready for operation by the beginning of the 2011 season; by August, he was able to walk, ready for the coming World Series. His system ended its first season comfortably ahead. The main focus on baseball provides a starting point for much more.]] Copyright Kirkus Reviews, used with permission.

Copyright (c) Kirkus Reviews, used with permission.